S.C.U. Torreense vs Ararat - Armenia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts S.C.U. Torreense at 56%. The model leans toward S.C.U. Torreense. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- S.C.U. Torreense is priced at 1.715.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts S.C.U. Torreense at 56%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Ararat - Armenia at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward S.C.U. Torreense. S.C.U. Torreense is priced at 1.715. The draw is priced at 3.86. Ararat - Armenia is priced at 4.7.
S.C.U. Torreense average 2 goals per game this season. S.C.U. Torreense average 33% possession. Ararat - Armenia average 1 goals per game this season. Ararat - Armenia average 41% possession.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 57% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, S.C.U. Torreense or Ararat - Armenia?
Our model rates S.C.U. Torreense as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for S.C.U. Torreense vs Ararat - Armenia?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Europa League - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 7 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:6 | 6 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 5 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 | |
| 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 4 | |
| 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 4 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | 4 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 | |
| 23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 | |
| 24 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:5 | 3 | |
| 25 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 26 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 27 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:6 | 3 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:7 | 3 | |
| 29 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:7 | 1 | |
| 30 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:6 | 1 | |
| 31 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:9 | 1 | |
| 32 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:9 | 1 | |
| 33 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:7 | 0 | |
| 34 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:9 | 0 | |
| 36 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:11 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.