Real C.D. Espana vs Platense Puerto Cortes: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Real C.D. Espanavs
Platense Puerto CortesThe model puts Real C.D. Espana at 69%. The model leans toward Real C.D. Espana. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Real C.D. Espana.
- −The head-to-head record favours Platense Puerto Cortes (4-2-9).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Real C.D. Espana have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Platense Puerto Cortes have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Real C.D. Espana have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Real C.D. Espana is priced at 1.3.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Real C.D. Espana at 69%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Platense Puerto Cortes at 13%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Real C.D. Espana. Real C.D. Espana is priced at 1.3. The draw is priced at 4.65. Platense Puerto Cortes is priced at 8.
Real C.D. Espana have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Platense Puerto Cortes have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Real C.D. Espana have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Platense Puerto Cortes have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 37% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Real C.D. Espana or Platense Puerto Cortes?
Our model rates Real C.D. Espana as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Real C.D. Espana vs Platense Puerto Cortes?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 4 Real C.D. Espana wins, 2 draws, 9 Platense Puerto Cortes wins.
League table
Honduras. Liga Nacional| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Deportivo Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:8 | 23 |
| 2 |  Marathon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 3 | Real C.D. Espana | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Motagua | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 5 |  Olancho | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:11 | 13 |
| 6 |  Estrella Roja de Arauli | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18:21 | 13 |
| 7 |  Lobos UPNFM | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 8 |  Genesis PN | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Choloma | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 10 |  CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | 10 |
| 11 | Platense Puerto Cortes | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8:21 | 8 |
| 12 |  Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 10:23 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.