Darmstadt 98 vs 1. Magdeburg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Darmstadt 98vs
1. MagdeburgThe model puts 1. Magdeburg at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours 1. Magdeburg.
- +The head-to-head record favours 1. Magdeburg (2-2-6).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Darmstadt 98 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1. Magdeburg have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Darmstadt 98 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- 1. Magdeburg is priced at 2.32.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Darmstadt 98 at 33%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts 1. Magdeburg at 44%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market frames this as a close contest. Darmstadt 98 is priced at 2.66. The draw is priced at 3.72. 1. Magdeburg is priced at 2.32.
Darmstadt 98 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. 1. Magdeburg have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Darmstadt 98 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. 1. Magdeburg have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Darmstadt 98 average 1 goals per game this season. Darmstadt 98 average 41% possession. 1. Magdeburg average 2 goals per game this season. 1. Magdeburg average 63% possession.
The model gives 58% for both teams to score. The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Darmstadt 98 or 1. Magdeburg?
Our model rates 1. Magdeburg as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Darmstadt 98 vs 1. Magdeburg?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 10 meetings: 2 Darmstadt 98 wins, 2 draws, 6 1. Magdeburg wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20:8 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 3 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:4 | 18 |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:14 | 16 |
| 5 | 1. Magdeburg | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20:12 | 16 |
| 6 |  1. Heidenheim | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 7 |  St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 8 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 9 |  Energie Cottbus | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | 10 |
| 10 |  Greuther Furth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 11 |  Dynamo Dresden | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 12 |  VfL Osnabruck | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 13 |  VfL Bochum | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Hannover 96 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Karlsruher | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:20 | 8 |
| 16 | Darmstadt 98 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 17 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Holstein | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7:11 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.