1. Kaiserslautern vs Hertha BSC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
1. Kaiserslauternvs
Hertha BSCThe model puts Hertha BSC at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours 1. Kaiserslautern.
- −The head-to-head record favours 1. Kaiserslautern (8-2-5).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- 1. Kaiserslautern have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hertha BSC have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1. Kaiserslautern have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hertha BSC is priced at 2.35.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |
| 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts 1. Kaiserslautern at 35%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Hertha BSC at 40%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market frames this as a close contest. 1. Kaiserslautern is priced at 2.73. The draw is priced at 3.54. Hertha BSC is priced at 2.35.
1. Kaiserslautern have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. Hertha BSC have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
1. Kaiserslautern have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Hertha BSC have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
1. Kaiserslautern average 2 goals per game this season. 1. Kaiserslautern average 54% possession. Hertha BSC average 3 goals per game this season. Hertha BSC average 52% possession.
The model gives 79% for both teams to score. The model gives 81% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, 1. Kaiserslautern or Hertha BSC?
Our model rates Hertha BSC as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for 1. Kaiserslautern vs Hertha BSC?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 8 1. Kaiserslautern wins, 2 draws, 5 Hertha BSC wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20:8 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 3 | 1. Kaiserslautern | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:4 | 18 |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:14 | 16 |
| 5 |  1. Magdeburg | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20:12 | 16 |
| 6 |  1. Heidenheim | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 7 |  St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 8 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 9 |  Energie Cottbus | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | 10 |
| 10 |  Greuther Furth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 11 |  Dynamo Dresden | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 12 |  VfL Osnabruck | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 13 |  VfL Bochum | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Hannover 96 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Karlsruher | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:20 | 8 |
| 16 |  Darmstadt 98 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 17 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Holstein | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7:11 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.