VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabruck: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
VfL Wolfsburgvs
VfL OsnabruckThe model puts VfL Wolfsburg at 64%. The model leans toward VfL Wolfsburg. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours VfL Wolfsburg.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- VfL Wolfsburg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfL Osnabruck have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfL Wolfsburg have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- VfL Wolfsburg is priced at 1.5.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts VfL Wolfsburg at 64%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts VfL Osnabruck at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward VfL Wolfsburg. VfL Wolfsburg is priced at 1.5. The draw is priced at 4.75. VfL Osnabruck is priced at 5.21.
VfL Wolfsburg have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. VfL Osnabruck have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
VfL Wolfsburg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. VfL Osnabruck have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
VfL Wolfsburg average 2 goals per game this season. VfL Wolfsburg average 58% possession. VfL Osnabruck average 2 goals per game this season. VfL Osnabruck average 40% possession.
The model gives 57% for both teams to score. The model gives 72% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, VfL Wolfsburg or VfL Osnabruck?
Our model rates VfL Wolfsburg as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabruck?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 VfL Wolfsburg wins, 0 draws, 1 VfL Osnabruck wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20:8 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 3 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:4 | 18 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:14 | 16 |
| 5 |  1. Magdeburg | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20:12 | 16 |
| 6 |  1. Heidenheim | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 7 |  St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 8 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 9 |  Energie Cottbus | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | 10 |
| 10 |  Greuther Furth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 11 |  Dynamo Dresden | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 12 | VfL Osnabruck | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 13 |  VfL Bochum | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Hannover 96 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Karlsruher | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:20 | 8 |
| 16 |  Darmstadt 98 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 17 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Holstein | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7:11 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.