Bologna 1909 vs Monza 1912: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bologna 1909vs
Monza 1912The model puts Bologna 1909 at 57%. The model leans toward Bologna 1909. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Bologna 1909.
- +The head-to-head record favours Bologna 1909 (4-2-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Bologna 1909 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Monza 1912 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bologna 1909 have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Bologna 1909 is priced at 1.75.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 17 | 11 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Bologna 1909 at 57%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Monza 1912 at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Bologna 1909. Bologna 1909 is priced at 1.75. The draw is priced at 3.8. Monza 1912 is priced at 4.56.
Bologna 1909 have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Monza 1912 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Bologna 1909 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Monza 1912 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Bologna 1909 average 1 goals per game this season. Bologna 1909 average 60% possession. Monza 1912 average 1 goals per game this season. Monza 1912 average 47% possession.
The model gives 37% for both teams to score. The model gives 37% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bologna 1909 or Monza 1912?
Our model rates Bologna 1909 as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bologna 1909 vs Monza 1912?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 7 meetings: 4 Bologna 1909 wins, 2 draws, 1 Monza 1912 wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Internazionale Milano | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 23:10 | 22 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:5 | 22 |
| 3 |  Roma | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19:6 | 18 |
| 4 |  Como | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Milan | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 6 |  Frosinone Calcio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 7 |  Torino | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 8 |  Cagliari Calcio | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6:9 | 13 |
| 9 |  Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 13 | Bologna 1909 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sassuolo Calcio | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 15 | Monza 1912 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 15:18 | 7 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6:13 | 7 |
| 17 |  Udinese Calcio | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9:16 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 9:19 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 20 |  Unione Venezia | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 6:17 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.