Frosinone Calcio vs Torino: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Frosinone Calciovs
TorinoThe model puts Frosinone Calcio at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Frosinone Calcio.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Frosinone Calcio have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Torino have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Frosinone Calcio have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Frosinone Calcio is priced at 2.36.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Frosinone Calcio at 42%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Torino at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Frosinone Calcio is priced at 2.36. The draw is priced at 3.66. Torino is priced at 2.8.
Frosinone Calcio have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Torino have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Frosinone Calcio have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Torino have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Frosinone Calcio average 2 goals per game this season. Frosinone Calcio average 38% possession. Torino average 2 goals per game this season. Torino average 57% possession.
The model gives 69% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Frosinone Calcio or Torino?
Our model rates Frosinone Calcio as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Frosinone Calcio vs Torino?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 11 meetings: 5 Frosinone Calcio wins, 3 draws, 3 Torino wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Internazionale Milano | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 23:10 | 22 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:5 | 22 |
| 3 |  Roma | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19:6 | 18 |
| 4 |  Como | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Milan | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 7 | Torino | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 8 |  Cagliari Calcio | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6:9 | 13 |
| 9 |  Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bologna 1909 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sassuolo Calcio | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 15 |  Monza 1912 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 15:18 | 7 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6:13 | 7 |
| 17 |  Udinese Calcio | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9:16 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 9:19 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 20 |  Unione Venezia | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 6:17 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.