Ratchaburi vs Kashiwa Reysol: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ratchaburivs
Kashiwa ReysolThe model puts Kashiwa Reysol at 66%. The model leans toward Kashiwa Reysol. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Kashiwa Reysol.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Ratchaburi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kashiwa Reysol have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kashiwa Reysol is priced at 1.45.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 3 |
| 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Ratchaburi at 15%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Kashiwa Reysol at 66%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward Kashiwa Reysol. Ratchaburi is priced at 6.25. The draw is priced at 4.9. Kashiwa Reysol is priced at 1.45.
Ratchaburi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Kashiwa Reysol have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 60% for both teams to score. The model gives 73% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ratchaburi or Kashiwa Reysol?
Our model rates Kashiwa Reysol as the most likely outcome at 66% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ratchaburi vs Kashiwa Reysol?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
AFC Champions League Elite - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashima Antlers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Gamba Osaka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 3 |  Beijing Guoan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Vissel Kobe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 5 |  Shanghai Port | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 4 |
| 6 |  Darul Takzim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Daejeon Hana Citizen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 |
| 9 |  Kyoto Sanga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 11 |  Buriram United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 12 | Ratchaburi | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:7 | 0 |
| 13 |  Pohang Steelers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 14 |  Hanoi Police | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 15 |  Port | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:10 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.