Beijing Guoan vs Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Beijing Guoanvs
Jeonbuk Hyundai MotorsThe model puts Beijing Guoan at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Beijing Guoan.
- −The head-to-head record favours Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (0-1-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Beijing Guoan have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Beijing Guoan is priced at 2.264.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Beijing Guoan at 44%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Beijing Guoan is priced at 2.264. The draw is priced at 3.64. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors is priced at 2.96.
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Beijing Guoan have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Beijing Guoan are on 5 wins in a row. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Beijing Guoan or Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors?
Our model rates Beijing Guoan as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Beijing Guoan vs Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 0 Beijing Guoan wins, 1 draws, 3 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors wins.
Odds movement
League table
AFC Champions League Elite - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashima Antlers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Gamba Osaka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Vissel Kobe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 5 |  Shanghai Port | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 4 |
| 6 |  Darul Takzim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Daejeon Hana Citizen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 |
| 9 |  Kyoto Sanga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 11 |  Buriram United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 12 |  Ratchaburi | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:7 | 0 |
| 13 |  Pohang Steelers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 14 |  Hanoi Police | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 15 |  Port | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:10 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.