Porto vs Academico de Viseu: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Portovs
Academico de ViseuThe model puts Porto at 60%. The model leans toward Porto. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Academico de Viseu.
- −The head-to-head record favours Academico de Viseu (0-1-6).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Porto have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Academico de Viseu have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Porto is priced at 1.454.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Porto at 60%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Academico de Viseu at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Porto. Porto is priced at 1.454. The draw is priced at 4.4. Academico de Viseu is priced at 6.07.
Academico de Viseu have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Porto have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Academico de Viseu have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Academico de Viseu are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Porto or Academico de Viseu?
Our model rates Porto as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Porto vs Academico de Viseu?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 7 meetings: 0 Porto wins, 1 draws, 6 Academico de Viseu wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.