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Germany. 2. Bundesliga

1. Heidenheim vs Hannover 96: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

1. Heidenheim 1. HeidenheimvsHannover 96 Hannover 96
Our prediction1. Heidenheim to win
Model score: High · 67/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model leans toward 1. Heidenheim. The model puts 1. Heidenheim at 49%. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · 1. Heidenheim49%
Draw25%
2 · Hannover 9627%
1 · 1. HeidenheimDraw2 · Hannover 96
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X21. Heidenheim2.05+3.0%
1X2Draw3.68-0.7%
1X2Hannover 963.22-2.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

1. HeidenheimLWLDL
Hannover 96LDLDL

Expected goals

1.861. Heidenheim
xG
1.08Hannover 96
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score56%
Team strength rating
1. Heidenheim
53
Hannover 96
40

Most likely scorelines

1-110.6%
1-09.9%
2-19.9%
2-09.2%
3-16.1%
0-15.7%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
1. Heidenheim Hannover 96

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X21. Heidenheim win2.05Fair (+3.0%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
05631
1101162
291052
36631
4332
51

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

1. Heidenheim have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Hannover 96 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

1. Heidenheim average 2 goals per game this season. Hannover 96 average 1 goals per game this season. 1. Heidenheim take 23 shots per game. Hannover 96 take 18 shots per game.

Hannover 96 have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. 1. Heidenheim have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.

The model puts 1. Heidenheim at 49%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Hannover 96 at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, 1. Heidenheim or Hannover 96?

Our model rates 1. Heidenheim as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for 1. Heidenheim vs Hannover 96?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 10 meetings: 4 1. Heidenheim wins, 0 draws, 6 Hannover 96 wins.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.863.382.912.431.95
Home 2.05 Draw 3.68 Away 3.22

Match statistics

Player of the matchChakrounHannover 968.0

1. Heidenheim

Starting XI
  • 3Schoppner6.1
  • 6Mainka6.7
  • 8Hennrich6.5
  • 10Conteh6.2
  • 11Zivzivadze6.4
  • 19Fohrenbach5.8
  • 22Mhamdi6.4
  • 24Costly M.6.9
  • 27Heule7.4
  • 29Kaufmann M.6.5
  • 33Dahne7.6
Coach: Schmidt

Hannover 96

Starting XI
  • 3Tomiak7.5
  • 4Hugonet7.0
  • 5Ghita V.E.7.1
  • 9Kallman Be.7.9
  • 10Hartel7.6
  • 14Chakroun8.0
  • 23Thordarson S.6.2
  • 27Matsuda6.2
  • 29Oudenne6.8
  • 30Weinkauf7.5
  • 44Sahiti E.7.9
Coach: Wagner S.

League table

Germany. 2. Bundesliga
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Hertha BSC11100125:931
2Nurnberg1171326:1324
31. Kaiserslautern1162310:721
4VfL Wolfsburg1152426:1619
51. Magdeburg1053221:1317
6Arminia Bielefeld1154218:1617
71. Heidenheim1043317:1815
8St. Pauli1022612:1212
9Greuther Furth1135313:1912
10Energie Cottbus1124518:2011
11Eintracht Braunschweig1136216:1811
12VfL Bochum103528:1111
13VfL Osnabruck1136214:1811
14Dynamo Dresden1136215:2011
15Hannover 961035210:1611
16Karlsruher1035213:2111
17Darmstadt 98112639:219
18Holstein1115511:148
Promotion - Bundesliga Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion) 2. Bundesliga (Relegation. Play-off) Relegation - League 3

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.