Germany. 2. Bundesliga

VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

VfL Bochumvs

Karlsruher

Our predictionVfL Bochum to win

Model score: Medium · 39/100

Score hint: 1-0

The model puts VfL Bochum at 51%. The model leans toward VfL Bochum. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Recent form favours Karlsruher.
−The head-to-head history is finely balanced.

Win probabilities

1 · VfL Bochum51%

Draw23%

2 · Karlsruher26%

1 · VfL BochumDraw2 · Karlsruher

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.44+12.6%

1X2Karlsruher4.03+2.7%

1X2Draw4.00-0.1%

1X2VfL Bochum1.75-2.6%

BTTSYes1.49-12.6%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

VfL BochumLLLLL

KarlsruherWLDLW

Team strength rating

VfL Bochum

Karlsruher

Most likely scorelines

1-012.3%

1-111.4%

2-010.4%

2-19.7%

0-07.2%

0-16.7%

Expected goals

1.70VfL Bochum

0.93Karlsruher

Over 2.5 goals49%

Both teams to score49%

Match DNA

VfL Bochum Karlsruher

Key points

VfL Bochum have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Karlsruher have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
VfL Bochum have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
VfL Bochum is priced at 1.75.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2VfL Bochum win1.75Fair (-2.6%)

Double chanceVfL Bochum or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	7	7	3
1	12	11	5	2
2	10	10	4	1
3	6	6	3
4	3	2	1
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts VfL Bochum at 51%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Karlsruher at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward VfL Bochum. VfL Bochum is priced at 1.75. The draw is priced at 4. Karlsruher is priced at 4.025.

VfL Bochum have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Karlsruher have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 9 of their head-to-head meetings.

VfL Bochum have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Karlsruher have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, VfL Bochum or Karlsruher?

Our model rates VfL Bochum as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 15 meetings: 3 VfL Bochum wins, 9 draws, 3 Karlsruher wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

Home 1.75 Draw 4.00 Away 4.03

Match statistics

Player of the matchHofmannVfL Bochum8.7

VfL Bochum

Starting XI

1Horn T.6.8
2Klaiber7.4
5Mets K.6.7
10Taz6.9
15Steinwender M.6.5
17Holtmann6.2
23Miyoshi6.8
24Pannewig6.9
32Wittek7.4
33Hofmann8.7
34Meyer6.3

Coach: Рёслер У.

Karlsruher

Starting XI

1Bernat7.2
6Vaananen6.6
7Wiethaup7.1
10Wanitzek8.3
13Fukuda7.1
15Scholl L.8.2
22Kobald7.4
23Civeja6.8
24Tremoulet7.5
33Bergh V.6.5
36Pinto Pedrosa6.2

Coach: Maximilian Senft

League table

Germany. 2. Bundesliga

#	Team	GP	W	L	T	G	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	11	10	0	1	25:9	31
2	Nurnberg	11	7	1	3	26:13	24
3	1. Kaiserslautern	11	6	2	3	10:7	21
4	VfL Wolfsburg	11	5	2	4	26:16	19
5	1. Magdeburg	10	5	3	2	21:13	17
6	Arminia Bielefeld	11	5	4	2	18:16	17
7	1. Heidenheim	10	4	3	3	17:18	15
8	St. Pauli	10	2	2	6	12:12	12
9	Greuther Furth	11	3	5	3	13:19	12
10	Energie Cottbus	11	2	4	5	18:20	11
11	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	6	2	16:18	11
12	VfL Bochum	10	3	5	2	8:11	11
13	VfL Osnabruck	11	3	6	2	14:18	11
14	Dynamo Dresden	11	3	6	2	15:20	11
15	Hannover 96	10	3	5	2	10:16	11
16	Karlsruher	10	3	5	2	13:21	11
17	Darmstadt 98	11	2	6	3	9:21	9
18	Holstein	11	1	5	5	11:14	8