Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Eintracht Frankfurtvs
TSG 1899 HoffenheimThe model puts Eintracht Frankfurt at 45%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Eintracht Frankfurt (10-2-3).
- +Recent form favours Eintracht Frankfurt.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Eintracht Frankfurt have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Eintracht Frankfurt have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Eintracht Frankfurt is priced at 2.31.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Eintracht Frankfurt at 45%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts TSG 1899 Hoffenheim at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Eintracht Frankfurt is priced at 2.31. The draw is priced at 4.06. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is priced at 2.675.
Eintracht Frankfurt have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Eintracht Frankfurt have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Eintracht Frankfurt average 1 goals per game this season. Eintracht Frankfurt average 60% possession. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim average 2 goals per game this season. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim average 59% possession.
The model gives 57% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Eintracht Frankfurt or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our model rates Eintracht Frankfurt as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 10 Eintracht Frankfurt wins, 2 draws, 3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Germany. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern Munich | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 29:9 | 21 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 3 |  RasenBallsport Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 27:13 | 18 |
| 4 |  Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  Elversberg | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:18 | 13 |
| 8 |  VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Hamburger | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 11 |  1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 12 |  Paderborn 07 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 13 |  Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 20:20 | 9 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 15 |  1. Koln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Monchengladbach | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 12:25 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.