Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Schalke 04vs
VfB StuttgartThe model puts VfB Stuttgart at 52%. The model leans toward VfB Stuttgart. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours VfB Stuttgart.
- −The head-to-head record favours Schalke 04 (8-4-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Schalke 04 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfB Stuttgart have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Schalke 04 have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- VfB Stuttgart is priced at 1.825.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25 | 21 | 9 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Schalke 04 at 27%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts VfB Stuttgart at 52%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward VfB Stuttgart. Schalke 04 is priced at 3.78. The draw is priced at 4.16. VfB Stuttgart is priced at 1.825.
Schalke 04 have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. VfB Stuttgart have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Schalke 04 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. VfB Stuttgart have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Schalke 04 average 0 goals per game this season. Schalke 04 average 17% possession. VfB Stuttgart average 1 goals per game this season. VfB Stuttgart average 49% possession.
The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 16% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Schalke 04 or VfB Stuttgart?
Our model rates VfB Stuttgart as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 8 Schalke 04 wins, 4 draws, 3 VfB Stuttgart wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Germany. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern Munich | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 29:9 | 21 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 3 |  RasenBallsport Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 27:13 | 18 |
| 4 |  Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  Elversberg | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:18 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Hamburger | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 11 |  1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 12 |  Paderborn 07 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 13 |  Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 20:20 | 9 |
| 14 |  TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 15 |  1. Koln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Monchengladbach | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 12:25 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.