Manchester City vs Bournemouth: Team Comparison
Manchester CityvsBournemouth 
Comparing Manchester City and Bournemouth across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Manchester City — a 64% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 18%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Bournemouth carry the stronger recent form, Manchester City project for more goals (2.00 xG), Bournemouth have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Manchester City | Metric | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| 61 | Strength rating | 49 |
| 64% | Win probability | 18% |
| D L W L D | Recent form | L W W W D |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 13 |
| 2.00 | Expected goals | 0.66 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Manchester City or Bournemouth?
The model favours Manchester City at 64%, with the draw at 18%.