Marítimo vs Casa Pia: Team Comparison
MarítimovsCasa Pia 
Comparing Marítimo and Casa Pia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Marítimo — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Marítimo carry the stronger recent form, Marítimo project for more goals (1.44 xG), Marítimo have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Marítimo | Metric | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| 60 | Strength rating | 46 |
| 39% | Win probability | 34% |
| W L D D W | Recent form | D D L W L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.44 | Expected goals | 1.17 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Marítimo or Casa Pia?
The model favours Marítimo at 39%, with the draw at 27%.