Vitoria Guimaraes vs Arouca: Team Comparison
Vitoria GuimaraesvsArouca 
Comparing Vitoria Guimaraes and Arouca across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Vitoria Guimaraes — a 48% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Vitoria Guimaraes project for more goals (1.66 xG), Arouca have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Vitoria Guimaraes | Metric | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| 47 | Strength rating | 46 |
| 48% | Win probability | 27% |
| L D D L L | Recent form | D W L L L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.66 | Expected goals | 0.97 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Vitoria Guimaraes or Arouca?
The model favours Vitoria Guimaraes at 48%, with the draw at 25%.