Porto vs Alverca: Team Comparison
PortovsAlverca 
Comparing Porto and Alverca across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Porto — a 83% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 12%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Alverca carry the stronger recent form, Porto project for more goals (2.42 xG), Porto have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Porto | Metric | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| 94 | Strength rating | 35 |
| 83% | Win probability | 5% |
| W W L W L | Recent form | W L W W W |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 2.42 | Expected goals | 0.28 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Porto or Alverca?
The model favours Porto at 83%, with the draw at 12%.