Casa Pia vs Benfica: Team Comparison
Casa PiavsBenfica 
Comparing Casa Pia and Benfica across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Benfica — a 81% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 13%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Benfica carry the stronger recent form, Benfica project for more goals (2.15 xG), Benfica have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Casa Pia | Metric | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Strength rating | 86 |
| 7% | Win probability | 81% |
| L L L W W | Recent form | D W W W L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 5 |
| 0.36 | Expected goals | 2.15 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Casa Pia or Benfica?
The model favours Benfica at 81%, with the draw at 13%.