Porto vs Arouca: Team Comparison
PortovsArouca 
Comparing Porto and Arouca across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Porto — a 82% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 12%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Porto carry the stronger recent form, Porto project for more goals (2.68 xG), Porto have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Porto | Metric | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| 95 | Strength rating | 39 |
| 82% | Win probability | 6% |
| W W W W L | Recent form | W W W L D |
| 12 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 2.68 | Expected goals | 0.33 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Porto or Arouca?
The model favours Porto at 82%, with the draw at 12%.