Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid: Team Comparison
SevillavsAtletico Madrid 
Comparing Sevilla and Atletico Madrid across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Atletico Madrid — a 40% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Sevilla carry the stronger recent form, Atletico Madrid have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Sevilla | Metric | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 55 | Strength rating | 63 |
| 33% | Win probability | 40% |
| W L W W W | Recent form | W W L L W |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 8 |
| 1.26 | Expected goals | 1.33 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Sevilla or Atletico Madrid?
The model favours Atletico Madrid at 40%, with the draw at 27%.