Celta vs Athletic Bilbao: Team Comparison
CeltavsAthletic Bilbao 
Comparing Celta and Athletic Bilbao across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Celta — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 29%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Celta project for more goals (1.29 xG), Celta have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Celta | Metric | Athletic Bilbao |
|---|---|---|
| 48 | Strength rating | 51 |
| 39% | Win probability | 32% |
| L L W W D | Recent form | D W D L D |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 1.29 | Expected goals | 1.02 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Celta or Athletic Bilbao?
The model favours Celta at 39%, with the draw at 29%.