Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal: Team Comparison
Deportivo AlavesvsVillarreal 
Comparing Deportivo Alaves and Villarreal across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Villarreal — a 37% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Deportivo Alaves carry the stronger recent form, Deportivo Alaves have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Deportivo Alaves | Metric | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| 60 | Strength rating | 55 |
| 36% | Win probability | 37% |
| D W W W W | Recent form | D D W W L |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 1.35 | Expected goals | 1.25 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Deportivo Alaves or Villarreal?
The model favours Villarreal at 37%, with the draw at 27%.