Newcastle United vs Bournemouth: Team Comparison
Newcastle UnitedvsBournemouth 
Comparing Newcastle United and Bournemouth across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Newcastle United — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Bournemouth carry the stronger recent form, Newcastle United project for more goals (1.48 xG), Newcastle United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Newcastle United | Metric | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| 48 | Strength rating | 40 |
| 41% | Win probability | 32% |
| D L L L W | Recent form | L L D W W |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.48 | Expected goals | 1.13 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Newcastle United or Bournemouth?
The model favours Newcastle United at 41%, with the draw at 27%.