Arouca vs Marítimo: Team Comparison
AroucavsMarítimo 
Comparing Arouca and Marítimo across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Arouca — a 42% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 29%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Marítimo carry the stronger recent form, Arouca project for more goals (3.04 xG), Arouca have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Arouca | Metric | Marítimo |
|---|---|---|
| 55 | Strength rating | 54 |
| 42% | Win probability | 29% |
| L W W W L | Recent form | D W W W D |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 5 |
| 3.04 | Expected goals | 2.14 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Arouca or Marítimo?
The model favours Arouca at 42%, with the draw at 29%.