Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Team Comparison
Aston VillavsNottingham Forest 
Comparing Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Aston Villa — a 45% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Nottingham Forest carry the stronger recent form, Aston Villa project for more goals (1.59 xG), Aston Villa have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Aston Villa | Metric | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| 61 | Strength rating | 43 |
| 45% | Win probability | 28% |
| W D L L L | Recent form | D D L L W |
| 8 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.59 | Expected goals | 1.03 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Aston Villa or Nottingham Forest?
The model favours Aston Villa at 45%, with the draw at 27%.