Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Team Comparison
Aston VillavsNottingham Forest 
Comparing Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Aston Villa — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Aston Villa carry the stronger recent form, Aston Villa project for more goals (1.78 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Aston Villa | Metric | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| 69 | Strength rating | 44 |
| 43% | Win probability | 31% |
| W W W W D | Recent form | D L L L W |
| 1.78 | Expected goals | 1.27 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Aston Villa or Nottingham Forest?
The model favours Aston Villa at 43%, with the draw at 26%.