Sunderland vs Arsenal: Team Comparison
SunderlandvsArsenal 
Comparing Sunderland and Arsenal across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Arsenal — a 62% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Arsenal project for more goals (1.79 xG), Sunderland have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Sunderland | Metric | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 37 | Strength rating | 51 |
| 17% | Win probability | 62% |
| L W L L L | Recent form | L D L L L |
| 10 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 0.75 | Expected goals | 1.79 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Sunderland or Arsenal?
The model favours Arsenal at 62%, with the draw at 22%.