Sunderland vs Arsenal: Team Comparison
SunderlandvsArsenal 
Comparing Sunderland and Arsenal across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Sunderland — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Arsenal carry the stronger recent form, Sunderland project for more goals (1.46 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Sunderland | Metric | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | Strength rating | 62 |
| 39% | Win probability | 35% |
| D L W L L | Recent form | W D W W W |
| 1.46 | Expected goals | 1.23 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Sunderland or Arsenal?
The model favours Sunderland at 39%, with the draw at 26%.