Leeds United vs Newcastle United: Team Comparison
Leeds UnitedvsNewcastle United 
Comparing Leeds United and Newcastle United across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Leeds United — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Leeds United carry the stronger recent form, Leeds United project for more goals (1.49 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Leeds United | Metric | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| 54 | Strength rating | 40 |
| 43% | Win probability | 32% |
| D L D W | Recent form | L L W L |
| 1.49 | Expected goals | 1.08 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Leeds United or Newcastle United?
The model favours Leeds United at 43%, with the draw at 26%.