Athletic Bilbao vs Elche: Team Comparison
Athletic BilbaovsElche 
Comparing Athletic Bilbao and Elche across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Athletic Bilbao — a 70% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 18%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Athletic Bilbao carry the stronger recent form, Athletic Bilbao project for more goals (1.49 xG), Athletic Bilbao have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Athletic Bilbao | Metric | Elche |
|---|---|---|
| 77 | Strength rating | 25 |
| 70% | Win probability | 12% |
| W W L L L | Recent form | L L L D W |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.49 | Expected goals | 0.36 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Athletic Bilbao or Elche?
The model favours Athletic Bilbao at 70%, with the draw at 18%.