Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Team Comparison
Real MadridvsRayo Vallecano 
Comparing Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Real Madrid — a 86% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 10%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Real Madrid carry the stronger recent form, Real Madrid project for more goals (1.72 xG), Real Madrid have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Real Madrid | Metric | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| 92 | Strength rating | 29 |
| 86% | Win probability | 4% |
| W L W W W | Recent form | W L D L L |
| 8 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.72 | Expected goals | 0.20 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Real Madrid or Rayo Vallecano?
The model favours Real Madrid at 86%, with the draw at 10%.