Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves: Team Comparison
Athletic BilbaovsDeportivo Alaves 
Comparing Athletic Bilbao and Deportivo Alaves across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Athletic Bilbao — a 52% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Deportivo Alaves carry the stronger recent form, Athletic Bilbao project for more goals (1.88 xG), Deportivo Alaves have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Athletic Bilbao | Metric | Deportivo Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| 47 | Strength rating | 41 |
| 52% | Win probability | 24% |
| L L L D L | Recent form | L W L W L |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 7 |
| 1.88 | Expected goals | 0.96 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Athletic Bilbao or Deportivo Alaves?
The model favours Athletic Bilbao at 52%, with the draw at 25%.