Valencia vs Real Sociedad: Team Comparison
ValenciavsReal Sociedad 
Comparing Valencia and Real Sociedad across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Valencia — a 45% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Real Sociedad carry the stronger recent form, Valencia project for more goals (1.59 xG), Valencia have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Valencia | Metric | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|
| 56 | Strength rating | 41 |
| 45% | Win probability | 28% |
| W D L L L | Recent form | L W L W D |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.59 | Expected goals | 1.03 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Valencia or Real Sociedad?
The model favours Valencia at 45%, with the draw at 27%.