Liverpool vs Manchester City: Team Comparison
LiverpoolvsManchester City 
Comparing Liverpool and Manchester City across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Manchester City — a 38% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Liverpool have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Liverpool | Metric | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 45 | Strength rating | 55 |
| 36% | Win probability | 38% |
| L L W W L | Recent form | W L D L W |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 5 |
| 1.33 | Expected goals | 1.26 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Liverpool or Manchester City?
The model favours Manchester City at 38%, with the draw at 26%.