Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano: Team Comparison
OsasunavsRayo Vallecano 
Comparing Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Osasuna — a 42% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Rayo Vallecano carry the stronger recent form, Osasuna project for more goals (1.05 xG), Rayo Vallecano have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Osasuna | Metric | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| 42 | Strength rating | 54 |
| 42% | Win probability | 31% |
| L L L D L | Recent form | W L L W D |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 8 |
| 1.05 | Expected goals | 0.76 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Osasuna or Rayo Vallecano?
The model favours Osasuna at 42%, with the draw at 27%.