Estoril vs Casa Pia: Team Comparison
EstorilvsCasa Pia 
Comparing Estoril and Casa Pia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Estoril — a 55% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Estoril project for more goals (0.99 xG), Estoril have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Estoril | Metric | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| 58 | Strength rating | 28 |
| 55% | Win probability | 21% |
| D L L L D | Recent form | L D L L L |
| 7 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 0.99 | Expected goals | 0.43 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Estoril or Casa Pia?
The model favours Estoril at 55%, with the draw at 24%.