Porto vs Benfica: Team Comparison
PortovsBenfica 
Comparing Porto and Benfica across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Benfica — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 28%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Benfica have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Porto | Metric | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| 48 | Strength rating | 61 |
| 34% | Win probability | 39% |
| L W W L W | Recent form | W W L W L |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 3.69 | Expected goals | 3.69 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Porto or Benfica?
The model favours Benfica at 39%, with the draw at 28%.