Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: Team Comparison
Rayo VallecanovsAthletic Bilbao 
Comparing Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Athletic Bilbao — a 42% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Athletic Bilbao have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Rayo Vallecano | Metric | Athletic Bilbao |
|---|---|---|
| 45 | Strength rating | 63 |
| 31% | Win probability | 42% |
| D W L W L | Recent form | D D W W L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 11 |
| 0.84 | Expected goals | 0.95 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Rayo Vallecano or Athletic Bilbao?
The model favours Athletic Bilbao at 42%, with the draw at 27%.