Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid: Team Comparison
Deportivo AlavesvsAtletico Madrid 
Comparing Deportivo Alaves and Atletico Madrid across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Atletico Madrid — a 51% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Atletico Madrid project for more goals (2.62 xG), Deportivo Alaves have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Deportivo Alaves | Metric | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | Strength rating | 55 |
| 25% | Win probability | 51% |
| L L W L L | Recent form | D W L L L |
| 10 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.72 | Expected goals | 2.62 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Deportivo Alaves or Atletico Madrid?
The model favours Atletico Madrid at 51%, with the draw at 24%.