Marítimo vs Porto: Team Comparison
MarítimovsPorto 
Comparing Marítimo and Porto across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Porto — a 74% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 17%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Porto carry the stronger recent form, Porto project for more goals (2.26 xG), Porto have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Marítimo | Metric | Porto |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Strength rating | 90 |
| 10% | Win probability | 74% |
| D L L L D | Recent form | W W L W W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 11 |
| 0.55 | Expected goals | 2.26 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Marítimo or Porto?
The model favours Porto at 74%, with the draw at 17%.