Helmond Sport vs Heracles Almelo: Team Comparison
Helmond SportvsHeracles Almelo 
Comparing Helmond Sport and Heracles Almelo across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Heracles Almelo — a 67% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 18%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Heracles Almelo carry the stronger recent form, Heracles Almelo project for more goals (1.88 xG), Heracles Almelo have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Helmond Sport | Metric | Heracles Almelo |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Strength rating | 79 |
| 15% | Win probability | 67% |
| L W W L D | Recent form | W L W W W |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 0.65 | Expected goals | 1.88 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Helmond Sport or Heracles Almelo?
The model favours Heracles Almelo at 67%, with the draw at 18%.