Alfreton Town vs Guiseley: Team Comparison
Alfreton TownvsGuiseley 
Comparing Alfreton Town and Guiseley across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Alfreton Town — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Guiseley carry the stronger recent form, Alfreton Town project for more goals (1.59 xG), Alfreton Town have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Alfreton Town | Metric | Guiseley |
|---|---|---|
| 61 | Strength rating | 63 |
| 41% | Win probability | 37% |
| W L L W L | Recent form | W W W W D |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.59 | Expected goals | 1.32 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Alfreton Town or Guiseley?
The model favours Alfreton Town at 41%, with the draw at 22%.