Arsenal vs Everton: Team Comparison
ArsenalvsEverton 
Comparing Arsenal and Everton across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Arsenal — a 71% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 19%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Arsenal carry the stronger recent form, Arsenal project for more goals (2.19 xG), Arsenal have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Arsenal | Metric | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| 85 | Strength rating | 39 |
| 71% | Win probability | 10% |
| W W L W W | Recent form | D W W D D |
| 8 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 2.19 | Expected goals | 0.49 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Arsenal or Everton?
The model favours Arsenal at 71%, with the draw at 19%.