Sunderland vs Leeds United: Team Comparison
SunderlandvsLeeds United 
Comparing Sunderland and Leeds United across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Leeds United — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 28%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Leeds United carry the stronger recent form, Leeds United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Sunderland | Metric | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | Strength rating | 61 |
| 33% | Win probability | 39% |
| L D L L D | Recent form | W W L L W |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 1.28 | Expected goals | 1.32 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Sunderland or Leeds United?
The model favours Leeds United at 39%, with the draw at 28%.