Deportivo Alaves vs Malaga: Team Comparison
Deportivo AlavesvsMalaga 
Comparing Deportivo Alaves and Malaga across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Deportivo Alaves — a 52% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Deportivo Alaves project for more goals (1.99 xG), Malaga have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Deportivo Alaves | Metric | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| 52 | Strength rating | 39 |
| 52% | Win probability | 21% |
| L D L L W | Recent form | D L L D D |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 7 |
| 1.99 | Expected goals | 0.96 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Deportivo Alaves or Malaga?
The model favours Deportivo Alaves at 52%, with the draw at 27%.