Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe: Team Comparison
Athletic BilbaovsGetafe 
Comparing Athletic Bilbao and Getafe across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Athletic Bilbao — a 55% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Getafe carry the stronger recent form, Athletic Bilbao project for more goals (1.85 xG), Athletic Bilbao have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Athletic Bilbao | Metric | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | Strength rating | 41 |
| 55% | Win probability | 20% |
| L L L D D | Recent form | D W D D L |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.85 | Expected goals | 0.80 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Athletic Bilbao or Getafe?
The model favours Athletic Bilbao at 55%, with the draw at 25%.