Valencia vs Villarreal: Team Comparison
ValenciavsVillarreal 
Comparing Valencia and Villarreal across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Villarreal — a 46% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Villarreal carry the stronger recent form, Villarreal project for more goals (1.30 xG), Valencia have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Valencia | Metric | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | Strength rating | 62 |
| 28% | Win probability | 46% |
| L L L W W | Recent form | D W W L W |
| 7 | Head-to-head wins | 5 |
| 0.98 | Expected goals | 1.30 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Valencia or Villarreal?
The model favours Villarreal at 46%, with the draw at 26%.