Newcastle United vs Everton: Team Comparison
Newcastle UnitedvsEverton 
Comparing Newcastle United and Everton across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Newcastle United — a 42% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Everton carry the stronger recent form, Newcastle United project for more goals (1.68 xG), Newcastle United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Newcastle United | Metric | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| 48 | Strength rating | 47 |
| 42% | Win probability | 32% |
| L L W L W | Recent form | L D W W D |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 1.68 | Expected goals | 1.24 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Newcastle United or Everton?
The model favours Newcastle United at 42%, with the draw at 26%.