Rayo Vallecano vs Celta: Team Comparison
Rayo VallecanovsCelta 
Comparing Rayo Vallecano and Celta across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Rayo Vallecano — a 44% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 28%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Rayo Vallecano carry the stronger recent form, Rayo Vallecano project for more goals (1.10 xG), Rayo Vallecano have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Rayo Vallecano | Metric | Celta |
|---|---|---|
| 59 | Strength rating | 42 |
| 44% | Win probability | 28% |
| W L W D L | Recent form | D D D L L |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.10 | Expected goals | 0.72 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Rayo Vallecano or Celta?
The model favours Rayo Vallecano at 44%, with the draw at 28%.