Sunderland vs Chelsea: Team Comparison
SunderlandvsChelsea 
Comparing Sunderland and Chelsea across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Chelsea — a 52% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Chelsea carry the stronger recent form, Chelsea project for more goals (1.30 xG), Chelsea have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Sunderland | Metric | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 37 | Strength rating | 69 |
| 25% | Win probability | 52% |
| L L W D D | Recent form | W L L W W |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 9 |
| 0.82 | Expected goals | 1.30 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Sunderland or Chelsea?
The model favours Chelsea at 52%, with the draw at 22%.