Manchester United vs Aston Villa: Team Comparison
Manchester UnitedvsAston Villa 
Comparing Manchester United and Aston Villa across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Manchester United — a 52% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Aston Villa carry the stronger recent form, Manchester United project for more goals (1.90 xG), Manchester United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Manchester United | Metric | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 64 | Strength rating | 38 |
| 52% | Win probability | 27% |
| W L L L D | Recent form | L D L W W |
| 9 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.90 | Expected goals | 1.04 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Manchester United or Aston Villa?
The model favours Manchester United at 52%, with the draw at 21%.